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Kyle Juszczyk

Kyle Juszczyk Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Kyle Juszczyk Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+980/-1200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • When talking about air yards, Kyle Juszczyk grades out in the towering 98th percentile among running backs this year, totaling a colossal 7.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more impressive than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).
  • Kyle Juszczyk's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 63.3% to 87.3%.
  • The rushing TD column reads "0" on Kyle Juszczyk's stats page this year.
  • This year, the weak Chicago Bears defense has conceded a colossal 74.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-largest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the 49ers.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Chicago's group of DTs has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

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