Kyle Juszczyk Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Kyle Juszczyk

NFL · Player Props

Kyle Juszczyk

FB · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 22, 2022 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Juszczyk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+203/-295).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -214 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -295.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 7th-most in football.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has allowed the highest Completion% in the NFL (84.7%) to RBs this year (84.7%).
The Arizona Cardinals defensive tackles grade out as the worst unit in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

Favors Under

The 49ers are an enormous 10-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 56.6 plays per game.
Kyle Juszczyk's 10.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 16.5.

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