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Kyle Juszczyk

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-122/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to use backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

With a 63.5% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-focused team in the NFL has been the San Francisco 49ers.

The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.

As it relates to air yards, Kyle Juszczyk ranks in the towering 98th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a colossal 11.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: fewest in football.

Kyle Juszczyk's 26.7% Route Participation Rate this year indicates a substantial drop-off in his passing game workload over last year's 39.0% figure.

Kyle Juszczyk's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a meaningful decline in his effectiveness in space over last season's 4.9% figure.

The Atlanta Falcons defense has conceded the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 17.0) vs. running backs this year.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Falcons defense has surrendered the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a measly 5.2 yards.

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