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Kyle Juszczyk

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers will be rolling out backup QB Mac Jones this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the 49ers to pass on 62.2% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.2 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kyle Juszczyk has run fewer routes this season (25.6% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (39.0%).
  • Kyle Juszczyk's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a meaningful decline in his efficiency in space over last season's 4.9% rate.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense has given up the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 16.0) versus RBs this year.
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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