Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Kyle Juszczyk

FB · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 2, 2025

Updated Sep 14, 2025 4:12 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-116/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 49ers may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones.
The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Saints defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) since the start of last season.
Kyle Juszczyk has accumulated a massive 10.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile among RBs. (This may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The 10th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the San Francisco 49ers since the start of last season (a mere 56.3 per game on average).
Kyle Juszczyk ranks as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league among RBs, hauling in just 65.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 5th percentile.
With a bad 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) since the start of last season, Kyle Juszczyk rates as one of the best RBs in the pass game in football in space.