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Kyle Juszczyk

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • Kyle Juszczyk has notched a whopping 7.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile among running backs. (That might not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Kyle Juszczyk's 88.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a substantial boost in his receiving ability over last year's 63.3% figure.
  • Kyle Juszczyk's receiving effectiveness has been refined this season, notching 8.78 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 6.52 mark last season.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (39.0) vs. RBs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.78 seconds per snap.
  • The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Kyle Juszczyk's talent in generating extra yardage have declined this season, notching a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.89 figure last season.
  • This year, the imposing Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing running backs: a meager 5.5 yards.
  • The Seahawks safeties grade out as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

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