Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Kyle Juszczyk

NFL · Player Props

Kyle Juszczyk

FB · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 29, 2025 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
When talking about air yards, Kyle Juszczyk grades out in the towering 98th percentile among running backs this year, totaling a colossal 7.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more impressive than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).
Kyle Juszczyk's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 63.3% to 87.3%.
Kyle Juszczyk's pass-game efficiency has been refined this season, notching 8.60 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 6.52 rate last season.
The Chicago Bears linebackers grade out as the worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the 49ers.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
Kyle Juszczyk's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a meaningful regression in his effectiveness in space over last year's 4.9% figure.
The Chicago Bears defense has surrendered the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 28.0) versus RBs this year.

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