Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Kyle Juszczyk

NFL · Player Props

Kyle Juszczyk

FB · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 8, 2024

Updated Oct 27, 2024 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and traits of each team, the projections expect this game (with an average of 26.04 seconds per play) will speed along at the 3rd-quickest pace among all games this week.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.0 plays per game.
Kyle Juszczyk has totaled a monstrous 12.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile when it comes to RBs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Kyle Juszczyk's 13.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 6.9.
The Cowboys pass defense has displayed bad efficiency against RBs this year, giving up 9.09 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the league.

Favors Under

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 52.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
Kyle Juszczyk's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 88.4% to 64.3%.
Kyle Juszczyk's pass-catching effectiveness has declined this year, notching just 5.53 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.62 rate last year.

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