Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Kyle Juszczyk

NFL · Player Props

Kyle Juszczyk

FB · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-131/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 43.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in the NFL.
Kyle Juszczyk has run a route on 42.6% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
Kyle Juszczyk's receiving efficiency has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 9.74 yards-per-target vs a mere 7.54 mark last year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-least pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.3% pass rate.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.8 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Kyle Juszczyk has totaled far fewer air yards this year (6.0 per game) than he did last year (16.0 per game).
Kyle Juszczyk's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 77.3% to 72.6%.

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