My Account Log Out

reorder

Kyle Allen

Kyle Allen TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans

Kyle Allen TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+204/-278).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -278.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Texans will be rolling with backup quarterback Kyle Allen in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Houston Texans have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.4 plays per game.

The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Houston Texans O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

More Kyle Allen Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™