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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs Kansas City Chiefs

K.J. Osborn Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Vikings to pass on 67.9% of their downs: the highest rate among all teams this week.

The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

K.J. Osborn has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (93.3% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (81.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.5 plays per game.

K.J. Osborn's play as a receiver has diminished this season, averaging a measly 2.1 adjusted catches vs 3.5 last season.

K.J. Osborn's 50.4% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a a noteable decline in his pass-catching skills over last season's 69.8% rate.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (58%) versus wideouts this year (58.0%).

When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Kansas City's unit has been very good this year, profiling as the 8th-best in the NFL.

More K.J. Osborn Player Props

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