My Account Log Out
 
 
K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
K.J. Osborn Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The Minnesota Vikings O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (63.4%) to WRs since the start of last season (63.4%).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks project as the 5th-best unit in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™