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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Patriots, who are enormous -9-point underdogs.

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

With a high 88.7% Route Participation Rate (83rd percentile) last year, K.J. Osborn places as one of the wide receivers with the most usage in the league.

K.J. Osborn profiles as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging an exceptional 4.98 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while ranking in the 78th percentile.

The Bengals defense has been gouged for the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (174.0) versus wide receivers last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in football (58.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 60.7 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The 8th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the New England Patriots last year (just 56.2 per game on average).

The New England Patriots offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league last year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

With a subpar 7.4 adjusted yards per target (22nd percentile) last year, K.J. Osborn stands as one of the weakest WRs in the league in football.

More K.J. Osborn Player Props

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