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K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-108/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The Minnesota Vikings O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • K.J. Osborn has been among the least efficient receivers in the league, averaging just 7.17 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 14th percentile among wide receivers
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (63.4%) to WRs since the start of last season (63.4%).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, giving up 7.40 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in football.

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