My Account Log Out
 
 
K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants

 
 
 
K.J. Osborn Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.2% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 64.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • K.J. Osborn's receiving efficiency has worsened this season, compiling a measly 7.16 yards-per-target compared to a 8.35 figure last season.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.2%) to WRs this year (64.2%).
  • The New York Giants pass defense has displayed strong efficiency versus WRs this year, allowing 7.84 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™