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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-4000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -4000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -4000.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Falcons, who are heavy -7-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast the Falcons as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.17 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The model projects Kirk Cousins to attempt 36.5 passes in this game, on balance: the 7th-most among all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most run-heavy offense in football in the red zone (51.0% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 8th-lowest level in the NFL against the Seahawks defense this year (67.3% Adjusted Completion%).

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