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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+114/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -152.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have 136.1 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • In this contest, Kirk Cousins is predicted by our trusted projection set to total the 8th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.3.
  • The Atlanta O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The Arizona Cardinals safeties profile as the 6th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 56.4% pass rate.
  • Kirk Cousins's passing precision has declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 65.6% to 62.6%.
  • Kirk Cousins has been among the bottom TD throwers in the league this year, averaging a terrible 0.75 per game while checking in at the 21st percentile.

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