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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-300/+210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -330 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +210.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Falcons, who are heavy -7-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast the Falcons as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.17 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The model projects Kirk Cousins to attempt 36.5 passes in this game, on balance: the 7th-most among all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense in football near the end zone (49.0% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 8th-lowest level in the NFL against the Seahawks defense this year (67.3% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered the 10th-fewest TDs through the air in football: 1.33 per game this year.
  • The Seahawks safeties grade out as the 5th-best unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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