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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 132.8 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, New York's unit has been very bad this year, projecting as the 7th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 4th-least pass-oriented team in the league in the red zone (50.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Kirk Cousins's throwing accuracy has worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 65.6% to 60.4%.

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