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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+115/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the most run-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 44.7% run rate.
  • The model projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.25 seconds per play.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • In this week's contest, Kirk Cousins is projected by the model to accrue the 2nd-fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 1.5.
  • Making up a mere 2.1% of his team's rushing play calls this year (2nd percentile among quarterbacks), Kirk Cousins's lack of speed makes him no threat as a ball-carrier.
  • Kirk Cousins has generated a measly 1.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest figures in the NFL among QBs (11th percentile).

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