Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2024

Updated Nov 10, 2024 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
Right now, the 9th-most run-oriented team in football (41.1% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Falcons.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see 134.3 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.
This year, the strong New Orleans Saints run defense has yielded a mere 5.40 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing offenses: the 31st-smallest rate in football.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New Orleans's DT corps has been dreadful this year, profiling as the worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

The Atlanta Falcons have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
The projections expect Kirk Cousins to accrue 2.0 carries this week, on average: the 8th-fewest out of all QBs.
Comprising a measly 3.3% of his team's rushing play calls this year (14th percentile among quarterbacks), Kirk Cousins's one-dimensionality makes him no threat with his legs.
With a terrible tally of 1.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (5th percentile), Kirk Cousins has been as one of the weakest running quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

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