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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-119/-121).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to be a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this week (6.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.8% in games he has played).
  • The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in run blocking.
  • Kirk Cousins's running efficiency (6.64 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (87th percentile among QBs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.8% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 34.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to total 1.5 carries this week, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.
  • The Arizona Cardinals safeties profile as the best safety corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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