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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Minnesota Vikings vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-116/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Minnesota Vikings O-line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.
  • The New England Patriots defensive tackles rank as the 4th-worst unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 4th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 35.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to notch 1.9 carries in this game, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.
  • Kirk Cousins's running efficiency has declined this year, averaging a measly 4.11 yards-per-carry vs a 6.61 figure last year.

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