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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 223.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 221.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 223.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 61.2 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Falcons O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the highest level in the NFL versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year (78.6% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency this year, yielding 8.39 adjusted yards-per-target: the 5th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 56.0% of their downs: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 122.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Kirk Cousins to throw 32.7 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 9th-fewest out of all QBs.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.

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