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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 200.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 214.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 200.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.6 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
  • The predictive model expects Kirk Cousins to throw 35.7 passes in this game, on balance: the 7th-most among all QBs.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons grades out as the 6th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4.5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 55.6% pass rate.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.1 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
  • Kirk Cousins has thrown for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (152.0) this year than he did last year (240.0).
  • Kirk Cousins's 61.9% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a material decline in his passing precision over last year's 65.6% figure.

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