My Account Log Out
 
 
Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 206.5 (-110/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 206.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 206.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The model projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.25 seconds per play.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Falcons grades out as the 4th-best in football this year.
  • Opposing teams have passed for the 9th-most adjusted yards in the league (241.0 per game) against the Buccaneers defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the least pass-heavy offense in football (55.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Falcons.
  • Kirk Cousins has thrown for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (137.0) this year than he did last year (240.0).
  • Kirk Cousins's 60.6% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a material drop-off in his throwing precision over last year's 65.6% figure.
  • Kirk Cousins's 5.97 adjusted yards-per-target this season represents an impressive decrease in his throwing effectiveness over last season's 7.4% rate.
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Tampa Bay's safety corps has been exceptional this year, projecting as the best in the league.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™