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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 200.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Falcons, who are heavy -7-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast the Falcons as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.17 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The model projects Kirk Cousins to attempt 36.5 passes in this game, on balance: the 7th-most among all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kirk Cousins has passed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (130.0) this season than he did last season (240.0).
  • Kirk Cousins's 6.04 adjusted yards-per-target this season marks a material regression in his throwing effectiveness over last season's 7.4% rate.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 8th-lowest level in the NFL against the Seahawks defense this year (67.3% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, yielding 6.63 adjusted yards-per-target: the fewest in the league.
  • The Seahawks safeties grade out as the 5th-best unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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