Kirk Cousins Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Passing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 253.5 (-125/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 253.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 253.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 7th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 64.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to attempt 40.1 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
Opposing teams have passed for the 8th-least yards in the NFL (just 217.0 per game) against the New York Jets defense this year.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 7th-lowest clip in the NFL vs. the New York Jets defense this year (66.9%).
The New York Jets pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, yielding 6.91 yards-per-target: the 4th-least in the NFL.

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