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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 261.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 261.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 261.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.7% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 67.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 140.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kirk Cousins to attempt 43.5 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most of all QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 4th-least yards in football (just 204.0 per game) vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
  • The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, allowing 7.06 yards-per-target: the 6th-least in the league.
  • The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 2nd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
  • The Dallas Cowboys defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season.

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