Kirk Cousins Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Kirk Cousins

NFL · Player Props

Kirk Cousins

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Interceptions

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 7, 2024

Updated Oct 20, 2024 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

Kirk Cousins Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Falcons to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The model projects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
The predictive model expects Kirk Cousins to throw 38.5 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-most out of all QBs.
Seattle's defense profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year as it relates to generating interceptions, notching a measly 0.29 per game.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is suggested by the Falcons being a 3-point favorite in this game.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Seahawks safeties rank as the 8th-best unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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