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Kirk Cousins

Kirk Cousins Carries
Player Prop Week 18

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Kirk Cousins Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 4.5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-most run-focused offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 44.4% run rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.6 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
  • In this contest, Kirk Cousins is predicted by the predictive model to garner the 7th-fewest carries out of all QBs with 2.0.
  • Kirk Cousins is more comfortable in the pocket and has accounted for just 3.1% of his team's run game usage this year, putting him in the 8th percentile among quarterbacks.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, New Orleans's unit has been terrific this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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