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This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -4.5-point underdogs.The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.In this week's contest, Kirk Cousins is projected by the model to accrue the 2nd-fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 1.5. Making up a mere 2.1% of his team's rushing play calls this year (2nd percentile among quarterbacks), Kirk Cousins's lack of speed makes him no threat as a ball-carrier.The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive tackles project as the 4th-best unit in football this year in regard to run defense.
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