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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Carolina Panthers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Khalil Shakir Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+235/-265).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -255 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -265.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Khalil Shakir has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 21.2% this year, which puts him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.
  • With an impressive 78.2% Adjusted Catch Rate (89th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir has been as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among WRs.
  • With an exceptional ratio of 0.29 per game through the air (75th percentile), Khalil Shakir has been among the best receiving TD-scorers in the league among WRs this year.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Carolina's group of DEs has been excellent this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are heavily favored by 7.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 53.0% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 121.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • After accumulating 36.0 air yards per game last season, Khalil Shakir has fallen off this season, now sitting at 28.0 per game.
  • Khalil Shakir's 36.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 44.5.

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