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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 20

Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Khalil Shakir Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+290/-345).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -410 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -345.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 130.3 total plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
  • Khalil Shakir has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which ranks in the 84th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • The Bills O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • With a fantastic 80.6% Adjusted Catch% (97th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir ranks among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bills to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 6th-most run-centric offense in the league in the red zone (48.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bills.
  • After totaling 36.0 air yards per game last season, Khalil Shakir has regressed heavily this season, currently pacing 22.0 per game.

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