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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Khalil Shakir Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+270/-295).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -325 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -295.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills will be rolling out backup QB Josh Allen in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
  • With an exceptional 20.0% Red Zone Target Rate (84th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir stands among the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to be the 6th-most run-heavy team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 48.5% red zone run rate.
  • Khalil Shakir has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (22.0 per game) than he did last year (36.0 per game).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.4%) to WRs this year (61.4%).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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