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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Khalil Shakir Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-405).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -320 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -405.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an impressive 19.4% Red Zone Target Share (84th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir has been among the wide receivers with the most usage near the goal line in football.
  • The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • With an exceptional 79.9% Adjusted Catch Rate (97th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir places as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, implying more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.4% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 7th-most run-focused team in the league near the goal line (48.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Buffalo Bills.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Khalil Shakir has notched quite a few less air yards this year (23.0 per game) than he did last year (36.0 per game).

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