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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Khalil Shakir Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+235/-315).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +240 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +235.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an impressive 19.4% Red Zone Target Share (84th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir has been among the wide receivers with the most usage near the goal line in football.
  • The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • With an exceptional 79.9% Adjusted Catch Rate (97th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir places as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 52.2% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 7th-most run-focused team in the league near the goal line (48.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Buffalo Bills.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bills are predicted by the projections to call only 62.0 total plays in this game: the 2nd-fewest among all teams this week.
  • Khalil Shakir has notched quite a few less air yards this year (23.0 per game) than he did last year (36.0 per game).
  • This year, the fierce Eagles defense has conceded a feeble 63.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the smallest rate in football.

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