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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Khalil Shakir Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+230/-265).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -235 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -265.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: most in the league.
  • With an elite 22.5% Red Zone Target% (90th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir stands among the WRs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league.
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
  • With a terrific 79.9% Adjusted Catch% (97th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among wide receivers.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest level in the NFL vs. the Steelers defense this year (73.1% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 10th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 47.0% red zone run rate.
  • Right now, the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Buffalo Bills.
  • The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • After accumulating 36.0 air yards per game last season, Khalil Shakir has significantly declined this season, currently pacing 26.0 per game.

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