My Account Log Out

reorder

Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

Khalil Shakir Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-116/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +128 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -116.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

In this week's game, Khalil Shakir is forecasted by the projection model to finish in the 81st percentile among wideouts with 7.5 targets.

The Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

Khalil Shakir is positioned as one of the most reliable receivers in football, completing an outstanding 82.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.

Since the start of last season, the weak Falcons pass defense has been gouged for a massive 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 2nd-largest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bills are forecasted by the projections to run only 62.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: fewest in the league.

Khalil Shakir's 35.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 44.5.

Khalil Shakir's receiving performance has declined this year, averaging just 3.2 adjusted receptions vs 5.1 last year.

More Khalil Shakir Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™