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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Khalil Shakir Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Khalil Shakir has been a big part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 22.2% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 78th percentile among WRs.

The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

With a stellar 5.2 adjusted catches per game (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Khalil Shakir has been among the leading wide receivers in the league in the league.

With a terrific 80.3% Adjusted Completion Rate (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Khalil Shakir has been as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL among WRs.

The New York Jets safeties project as the 9th-worst collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Bills being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.

The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Bills to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 5th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Bills since the start of last season (a measly 55.7 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Jets, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.

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