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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Khalil Shakir Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-104/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills will be rolling out backup QB Josh Allen in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
  • The projections expect Khalil Shakir to accrue 7.0 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 86th percentile among wideouts.
  • With a top-tier 20.5% Target Share (79th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir has been as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Khalil Shakir's pass-catching performance tailed off this season, averaging just 4.1 adjusted catches compared to 5.1 last season.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.4%) to WRs this year (61.4%).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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