Khalil Shakir Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Khalil Shakir

NFL · Player Props

Khalil Shakir

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receptions

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 28, 2025 9:22 PM EST

Analysis

Khalil Shakir Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Khalil Shakir has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 20.4% this year, which puts him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
With an exceptional 79.9% Adjusted Catch Rate (97th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir places as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football among WRs.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, implying more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.4% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Khalil Shakir's 3.9 adjusted receptions per game this year illustrates a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 5.1 rate.
The Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (57.6%) versus WRs this year (57.6%).

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