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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Khalil Shakir Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Khalil Shakir has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 20.4% this year, which puts him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • With an exceptional 79.9% Adjusted Catch Rate (97th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir places as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, implying more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.4% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Khalil Shakir's 3.9 adjusted receptions per game this year illustrates a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 5.1 rate.
  • The Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (57.6%) versus WRs this year (57.6%).

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