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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Khalil Shakir Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Khalil Shakir has been an integral part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 20.2% this year, which ranks in the 76th percentile among WRs.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
  • With an outstanding 78.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (97th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir stands among the most sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to WRs.
  • The Patriots pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (66.5%) versus WRs this year (66.5%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Khalil Shakir's 4.1 adjusted catches per game this season marks a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last season's 5.1 figure.
  • The New England Patriots linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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