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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Khalil Shakir Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+104/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • In this week's contest, Khalil Shakir is anticipated by the model to slot into the 91st percentile among wide receivers with 8.6 targets.
  • Our trusted projections expect Khalil Shakir to be a more important option in his offense's passing offense in this game (26.9% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (20.6% in games he has played).
  • The Bills offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • With an exceptional 4.2 adjusted receptions per game (86th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir has been among the best WRs in the game in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bills as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.
  • The Texans pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (56.6%) to wideouts this year (56.6%).
  • The Houston cornerbacks project as the 7th-best group of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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