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Khalil Shakir Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+150/-210).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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In this week's contest, Khalil Shakir is forecasted by the projections to place in the 79th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.0 targets.With an exceptional 21.5% Target% (81st percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir has been as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the NFL.In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.With a fantastic 81.2% Adjusted Completion Rate (95th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir stands among the most reliable receivers in the league when it comes to WRs.This year, the porous Dolphins pass defense has conceded a staggering 68.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 5th-highest rate in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 8-point advantage, the Bills are overwhelmingly favored in this week's game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to pass on 53.2% of their chances: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have only 121.8 total plays called: the fewest out of all the games this week.Opposing QBs have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.Khalil Shakir's pass-catching performance declined this year, compiling a mere 3.8 adjusted catches vs 5.1 last year.
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