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Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-145/+110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -145.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Khalil Shakir has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 21.3% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 76th percentile when it comes to wideouts.When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Bills ranks as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season.With an excellent 55.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Khalil Shakir rates as one of the top WRs in the NFL in the NFL.Khalil Shakir is positioned as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in an excellent 80.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile among WRs.Khalil Shakir profiles as one of the leading WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging an exceptional 7.16 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 98th percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 11.5-point advantage, the Bills are overwhelmingly favored this week, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard game plan.Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bills to pass on 52.0% of their chances: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 125.3 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.The Buffalo Bills have run the 9th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging just 56.1 plays per game.Since the start of last season, the daunting Miami Dolphins defense has allowed a mere 127.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 4th-best in football.
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