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Khalil Shakir

Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (+103/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ +103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Khalil Shakir has been a big part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 22.2% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 78th percentile among WRs.
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Khalil Shakir profiles as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 58.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.
  • With a terrific 80.3% Adjusted Completion Rate (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Khalil Shakir has been as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL among WRs.
  • Since the start of last season, the weak Jets defense has been torched for the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a monstrous 8.61 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Bills being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Bills to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Bills since the start of last season (a measly 55.7 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Jets, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.

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