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Khalil Shakir Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-110/-114).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Khalil Shakir has been an integral part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 20.2% this year, which ranks in the 76th percentile among WRs.When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the best in the NFL this year.With an outstanding 78.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (97th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir stands among the most sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to WRs.The Patriots pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (66.5%) versus WRs this year (66.5%).The Patriots pass defense has shown weak efficiency versus wide receivers this year, conceding 8.55 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.After accumulating 36.0 air yards per game last season, Khalil Shakir has seen a big decrease this season, now sitting at 23.0 per game.Khalil Shakir's 43.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season signifies a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last season's 56.0 mark.Khalil Shakir's talent in picking up extra yardage have declined this year, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.82 mark last year.
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