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Khalil Herbert

Khalil Herbert Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Chicago Bears

Khalil Herbert Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-114/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.0 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Houston defensive tackles profile as the 4th-worst collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Bears being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.

With a 33.9% rate of running the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 4th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL has been the Bears.

While Khalil Herbert has received 35.9% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller part of Chicago's running game in this game at 21.1%.

Since the start of last season, the anemic Texans run defense has conceded a monstrous 3.62 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing offenses: the 32nd-worst rate in the NFL.

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