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Khalil Herbert

Khalil Herbert Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Khalil Herbert Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+260/-360).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 3rd-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 49.8% red zone run rate.

Khalil Herbert has run for 0.44 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the league among running backs (86th percentile).

Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most touchdowns in football (1.50 per game) versus the Detroit Lions defense this year.

The Detroit Lions safeties profile as the 27th-worst group of safeties in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears have called the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.9 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Khalil Herbert to be much less involved in his offense's rushing attack near the end zone this week (27.8% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (39.9% in games he has played).

More Khalil Herbert Player Props

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