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Khalil Herbert

Khalil Herbert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs Tennessee Titans

Khalil Herbert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

When it comes to air yards, Khalil Herbert grades out in the lofty 92nd percentile among RBs last year, averaging a monstrous 3.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more notable than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).

Last year, the feeble Titans defense has surrendered the 8th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing RBs: a colossal 8.63 YAC.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Tennessee's safety corps has been awful last year, projecting as the 4th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 54.8% of their downs: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The Chicago Bears O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Last year, the formidable Titans defense has allowed a feeble 27.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 10th-fewest in football.

More Khalil Herbert Player Props

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